GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Estrela are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lusitano Évora 1911 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estrela holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrela

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EstrelaDWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lusitano Évora 1911DLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
EstrelaLusitano Évora 1911
73.3Attack0.0
46.7Defence100.0
60.0Form33.3
61.3Power45.3
2.23xG1.44
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