Estrela do NortevsPinheiros

Estrela do Norte are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pinheiros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela do Norte hold a 69.5-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 13.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Capixaba B, while Estrela do Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.