Estrela do NortevsForte FC

Estrela do Norte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Forte FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela do Norte hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Capixaba B, while Estrela do Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.