Estrela do Nortevs
Forte FC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 9/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrela do Norte · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Estrela do Norte are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Forte FC are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela do Norte hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Capixaba B, while Estrela do Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estrela do Norte
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Estrela do Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.75
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75