GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estradense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Estradense are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Pontevedra are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Estradense hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estradense holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estradense

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

11.3%

Estradense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EstradenseLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
PontevedraLWDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
EstradensePontevedra
50.0Attack40.0
66.7Defence46.7
50.0Form40.0
56.2Power45.3
1.90xG1.25
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