Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torreense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Estoril are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Torreense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torreense hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Torreense holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torreense
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Torreense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60