Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Famalicao · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Estoril are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Famalicao are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Famalicao hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Primeira Liga, while Famalicao holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Famalicao
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Famalicao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00