GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 7/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Essendon Royals SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Essendon Royals SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Box Hill are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Essendon Royals SC hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Essendon Royals SC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Essendon Royals SC

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Essendon Royals SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Essendon Royals SCDWWWL

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Box HillLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Essendon Royals SCBox Hill
83.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence59.7
65.3Form51.4
65.2Power55.1
2.26xG1.35
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