Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Espanyol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Levante are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.3 against 43.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the La Liga, while Espanyol holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Espanyol
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
14.6%
Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40