Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ESMTK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
ESMTK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Monori Se are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ESMTK hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the NB III - Southeast, while ESMTK holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ESMTK
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
ESMTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80