Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Esbjerg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vejle are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20