Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Esbjerg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hobro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobro hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the 1. Division, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60