Esbjergvs
Aarhus Fremad
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Esbjerg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aarhus Fremad are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80