GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Erzgebirge Aue are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kladno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kladno hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Erzgebirge Aue holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erzgebirge Aue

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzgebirge AueWWWWD

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KladnoWDDDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Erzgebirge AueKladno
66.7Attack72.2
37.0Defence27.8
40.7Form50.0
44.4Power50.0
2.74xG2.29
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