GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Schalke 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Erzgebirge Aue are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Schalke 04 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Schalke 04 hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Schalke 04 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Schalke 04

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

FC Schalke 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzgebirge AueWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Schalke 04LWLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Erzgebirge AueFC Schalke 04
66.7Attack74.1
37.0Defence59.3
40.7Form63.0
44.4Power63.7
1.71xG2.65
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