GGOALVIO

Erzgebirge Aue logoErzgebirge AuevsBFC Preussen logoBFC Preussen

COMPLETED

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Erzgebirge Aue are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BFC Preussen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Regionalliga - Nordost, favouring Erzgebirge Aue with 9.9% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erzgebirge Aue

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

9.9%

Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzgebirge AueWWDWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BFC PreussenLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Erzgebirge AueBFC Preussen
88.9Attack22.2
44.4Defence33.3
77.8Form11.1
72.8Power25.8
2.47xG1.09
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