Erzgebirge Auevs
BFC Dynamo
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Erzgebirge Aue are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while BFC Dynamo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Regionalliga - Nordost, favouring Erzgebirge Aue with 9.4% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erzgebirge Aue
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
9.4%
Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60