GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 7/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Erzgebirge Aue are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Altglienicke are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Erzgebirge Aue holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erzgebirge Aue

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzgebirge AueLWWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AltglienickeLWWWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Erzgebirge AueAltglienicke
83.3Attack91.7
50.0Defence41.7
83.3Form66.7
75.3Power68.0
2.24xG1.69
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