GGOALVIO

Germany · U19 Bundesliga · 8/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erzgebirge Aue U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Erzgebirge Aue U19 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Greuther Fürth U19 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue U19 hold a 51.9-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the U19 Bundesliga, while Erzgebirge Aue U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erzgebirge Aue U19

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

9.0%

Erzgebirge Aue U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Erzgebirge Aue U19WWLDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Greuther Fürth U19WWLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Erzgebirge Aue U19Greuther Fürth U19
66.7Attack42.3
100.0Defence29.5
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power36.8
3.11xG1.12
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