Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ansbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Erlangen are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Ansbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ansbach hold a 39.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ansbach holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ansbach
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Ansbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/3.50
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80