Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
EPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Musa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and EPS hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 20.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while EPS holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EPS
Probability
88.2%
Model confidence
10.8%
EPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40