Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Epinal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nancy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold a 47.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
12.3%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20