GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/16/2026, 9:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Envigado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Envigado

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EnvigadoWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Real CartagenaDWDLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EnvigadoReal Cartagena
48.0Attack51.3
72.0Defence62.8
64.0Form56.4
63.2Power57.8
1.17xG0.77
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