Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Envigado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Quindio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40