Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Envigado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Quindio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20