Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Envigado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Patriotas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40