Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Enköping are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Järfälla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80