Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Enköping are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Arlanda are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80