Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enisey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Enisey are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KAMAZ are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Enisey hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the First League, while Enisey holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Enisey
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
11.9%
Enisey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00