GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Empoli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Empoli are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Virtus Entella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Empoli hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Empoli holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Empoli

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Empoli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EmpoliDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Virtus EntellaWLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
EmpoliVirtus Entella
100.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence100.0
58.3Form66.7
70.1Power64.8
2.15xG1.18
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