Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emmen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Emmen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Twente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Emmen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Emmen
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Emmen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40