Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Elverum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Råde are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 4.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 4.25/0.75