Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Elverum are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oppsal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20