Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Elva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Viimsi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
11.7%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80