ElvavsTallinna Kalev

Elva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.