Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Elva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Skanste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80