ElvavsNõmme United II

Elva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.