Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Elva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Joker are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (98.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Cup, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
8.2%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33