GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltham Redbacks FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Eltham Redbacks FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Eltham Redbacks FC hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Eltham Redbacks FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltham Redbacks FC

Probability

73.5%

Model confidence

73.5%

Eltham Redbacks FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eltham Redbacks FCWLLDL

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
North Geelong WarriorsDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Eltham Redbacks FCNorth Geelong Warriors
75.0Attack45.8
45.8Defence29.2
48.6Form38.9
54.6Power40.5
3.64xG1.35
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