GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/22/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltham Redbacks FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Eltham Redbacks FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Eltham Redbacks FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltham Redbacks FC

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Eltham Redbacks FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eltham Redbacks FCLWLDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IIWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eltham Redbacks FCMelbourne Victory II
75.0Attack75.4
45.8Defence49.3
48.6Form58.0
54.6Power61.0
2.46xG2.34
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