GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltersdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Eltersdorf are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nürnberg II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Eltersdorf hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Eltersdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltersdorf

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

12.1%

Eltersdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EltersdorfDLWDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Nürnberg IILLLWD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EltersdorfNürnberg II
11.1Attack22.2
88.9Defence22.2
44.4Form0.0
51.1Power20.2
1.80xG0.94
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