GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Peterhead are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterhead hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the League Cup, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterhead

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PeterheadLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Elgin CityPeterhead
16.7Attack25.0
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form33.3
11.2Power45.9
1.04xG1.65
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