GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kilmarnock · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold a 57.2-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the League Cup, while Kilmarnock holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Kilmarnock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLLWWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KilmarnockDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Elgin CityKilmarnock
16.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence86.7
0.0Form73.3
11.2Power68.4
0.94xG1.75
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