GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Elgin City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the League Two, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elgin City

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

12.0%

Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLDWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kelty HeartsWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
77.5Power53.0
1.83xG1.11
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