Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Elche are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cordoba are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Elche hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80