Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Elche are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Al Ain are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 42.4-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40