Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Roble are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Firpo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Copa Presidente, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00