El Porvenirvs
JJ Urquiza
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JJ Urquiza are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and El Porvenir hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60