El Paso Locomotivevs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
El Paso Locomotive are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80