El Paso Locomotivevs
Oakland Roots
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and el Paso Locomotive hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.4%
Model confidence
13.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80